PHILADELPHIA (October 6, 2016) – A survey of private equity executives at ACG’s M&A East Conference (September 27-28) by CMF Associates, a leading provider of financial, operational, and human capital solutions to private equity, middle-market, and small cap public companies, found a pullback in 12-month projected aggregate revenue growth in existing portfolios.
The fall 2016 results indicate an apex of 42.1% of respondents expecting between 0-5% organic revenue increases, compared to fall 2015 results, which found an apex of 67.7% of respondents expecting 5-10% organic revenue increases. In 2013 and 2014, more than 50% of respondents each year said they expected 5-10% growth, and more than a quarter of respondents in 2013 said they expected 10-15% growth in revenue.
Those surveyed also reported that purchase multiples in fall 2016 saw a slight pullback in peak purchase multiples from 7x to 6x, with 26% indicating 6x EBITDA and 29% indicating 7x EBITDA for 2016 and 2015, respectively. 26% of executives reported 9x+ EBITDA multiples, which likely indicates the disparity between platform and add-on investments.
“While September’s University of Michigan survey of consumer confidence indicated a 1.6% and 4.6% increase in month over month and year over year confidence, respectively, our survey results indicate that private equity investors who are closer to the operations of middle market companies are more cautious about the next twelve months,” said Thomas Bonney, founder and managing director of CMF.
The survey of private equity executives was conducted on September 27 and 28 at the M&A East Conference in Philadelphia. This is the fifth installment of the survey by CMF, which also surveyed M&A East attendees in 2012, 2013, 2014 and 2015.
Read full press release and view graphs here.