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CMF Predictions for 2017

By December 12, 2016Newsletters


A Rising or Setting Sun?

This marks the tenth consecutive year for CMF publishing our annual predictions on the economy, socio-political issues, and industry trends. See how the actuals compared with the 2016 predictions (made in November 2015) and the past predictions from 2008-2016, which you can find here.

Highlights from last year’s November 2015 predictions that we accurately forecasted include:

  • U.S. unemployment rate down to 4.9% from 5.4% last year
  • Auto sales declining
  • Hillary not being elected President

Our 2017 predictions include higher oil prices and interest rates, a decrease in the U.S. budget deficit (driven by higher tax receipts), and an increase in “cordcutting” by households from their cable providers.

Other key predictions include:

  • GDP growing to 3.1%
  • USD/CNY Exchange Rate breaks ¥7.00 to $1.00
  • Middle Market PE M&A deal volume increase
  • Average multiple on healthcare businesses declines

See the complete list of 2017 predictions here.

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